🎯 Other
Oscar nominees: Best Picture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
94%
No
6%
No (6%)Yes (94%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$32
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 94%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
97%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
88%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
79%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
79%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
75%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
73%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
63%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
55%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
50%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
36%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
32%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
31%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
28%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
26%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
20%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
19%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wildwood
19%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Josephine
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Misty Green
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Whisper Man
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Minotaur
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
5%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Rose
5%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$32
Liquidity$11k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen