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Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$179
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%. Kalshi has moved up 16pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
99%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
86%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary
82%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
80%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
78%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
68%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
56%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
45%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
44%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
38%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Social Reckoning
38%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
31%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
27%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
25%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
24%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
21%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
20%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
19%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
16%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Josephine
16%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
13%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Paper Tiger
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Bucking Fastard
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Love Boosters
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
95%
probability of YES
Kalshi
95%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$179
Liquidity$10k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen