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Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Project Hail Mary

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6
Liquidity
$65k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 80%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Project Hail Mary has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Picture

Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Odyssey
99%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Black Ball
93%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Wild Horse Nine
92%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Dune: Part Three
78%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Debut
77%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Invite
61%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Fjord
58%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Play Rocky
41%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — All of a Sudden
40%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Obsession
39%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — You Can See Everything
35%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Behemoth
34%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Club Kid
24%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Artificial
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Being Heumann
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Elsinore
21%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Possible Love
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Digger
17%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Social Reckoning
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Michael
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Primetime
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
13%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — 1949 / Fatherland
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Paper Tiger
12%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Sense and Sensibility
11%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Ink
9%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — I Love Boosters
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Bucking Fastard
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Picture — Tony
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
80%
probability of YES
Kalshi
80%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6
Liquidity$65k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen