🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above -25,000

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$881
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 96%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -25000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 0
90%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 10,000
88%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 30,000
83%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 20,000
83%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 40,000
78%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 50,000
72%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 60,000
66%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 70,000
65%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 80,000
60%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 90,000
54%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 100,000
46%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 125,000
31%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
96%
probability of YES
Kalshi
96%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$881
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen