🎯 Other
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 20,000

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$341
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 83%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 20000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above -25,000
94%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 0
90%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 10,000
88%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 30,000
83%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 40,000
78%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 50,000
72%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 60,000
66%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 70,000
65%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 80,000
60%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 90,000
54%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 100,000
46%
Jobs numbers in Sep 2026? — Above 125,000
31%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
83%
probability of YES
Kalshi
83%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$341
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen