🗳️ Elections
Quebec general election: 4th place

Quebec general election: 4th place — Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$573
Liquidity
$373

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 49%.

About this market

If Équipe Christine Fréchette - Coalition avenir Québec finishes in 4th place in the 2026 Quebec general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Quebec general election: 4th place

Quebec general election: 4th place — Conservative Party of Québec
37%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Québec solidaire
5%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Quebec Liberal Party
2%
Quebec general election: 4th place — Parti Québécois
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
49%
probability of YES
Kalshi
49%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$573
Liquidity$373
CategoryElections
StatusOpen