📊 Macro

Recession in 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 31, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$259k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%.

About this market

If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
21%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 31, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$259k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen