🎯 Other
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +22 or more
Live
Resolves Dec 15, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$420
Liquidity
$335
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 14%.
About this market
If the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin, in percentage points, among U.S. House districts won by a Democratic candidate is at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +5 or more
98%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +10 or more
97%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +15 or more
91%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +18 or more
70%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +20 or more
50%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +25 or more
7%
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026? — Trump +30 or more
4%
Resolution
Dec 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$420
Liquidity$335
CategoryOther
StatusOpen