Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? — Before election day 2026

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Mitch McConnell has resigned, retired, or otherwise voluntarily stepped down from their Congressional office, or announced their intent to resign, retire, or otherwise voluntarily step down from their office prematurely, after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.