🗳️ Elections
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 202

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
47%
No
53%
No (53%)Yes (47%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$51
Liquidity
$51

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 47%.

About this market

If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 202 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 182
90%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 190
84%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 186
82%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 194
73%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 198
59%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 206
29%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 210
24%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 214
16%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 218
9%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 226
7%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 222
6%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 230
3%
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? — At least 234
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
47%
probability of YES
Kalshi
47%Check
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$51
Liquidity$51
CategoryElections
StatusOpen