🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.7%

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — Below 38.5%
59%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.8%
9%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.5%
7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.6%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 38.9%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — Above 39.1%
2%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.1%
1%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026? — 39.0%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
16%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen