🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.4%

Live
Resolves Oct 8, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
29%
No
71%
No (71%)Yes (29%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 29%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.5%
27%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.3%
18%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.6%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — Below 38.2%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.2%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — Above 38.8%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.8%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 38.7%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
29%
probability of YES
Kalshi
29%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 8, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen