🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — Below 39.8%

Live
Resolves Sep 21, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 40.1%
40%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 40.0%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 40.2%
18%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 39.9%
8%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 40.3%
7%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 39.8%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — 40.4%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 21, 2026? — Above 40.4%
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 21, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen