🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — Below 39.9%

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
53%
No
47%
No (47%)Yes (53%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 53%.

About this market

If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.1%
22%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.2%
19%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.0%
16%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 39.9%
13%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.3%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.4%
4%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — 40.5%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026? — Above 40.5%
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
53%
probability of YES
Kalshi
53%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen