📊 Macro
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029

US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.0%

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$497

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2029 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US headline CPI inflation in December 2029

US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 0.5%
93%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 0.0%
92%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 1.5%
85%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 1.0%
73%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 2.0%
56%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 2.5%
52%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 3.5%
35%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 3.0%
23%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 6.0%
21%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 4.5%
19%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 5.0%
15%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029 — Above 5.5%
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Kalshi
25%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$497
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen