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Market Closed
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🗳️ Elections

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

Closed
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 38%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
38%
probability of YES
Kalshi
38%
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
closed
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed