🗳️ Elections

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16
Liquidity
$3k

About this market

If any independent or third-party candidate wins an election for the U.S. House of Representatives or the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Kalshi
51%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen