🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.31% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$590
Liquidity
$409
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 41%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.17% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.15% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.13% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.11% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.19% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.21% or above
97%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.23% or above
92%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.25% or above
90%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.27% or above
73%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.29% or above
58%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.33% or above
39%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.35% or above
13%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.37% or above
7%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 1, 2026? — 5.39% or above
2%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$590
Liquidity$409
CategoryOther
StatusOpen