🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.1% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 15, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$414
Liquidity
$414
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 51%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.06% or above
86%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.08% or above
78%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.12% or above
39%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.14% or above
29%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.18% or above
15%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.16% or above
14%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.22% or above
4%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.24% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.2% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.3% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.34% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.26% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.32% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026? — 5.28% or above
1%
Resolution
Oct 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$414
Liquidity$414
CategoryOther
StatusOpen