🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.1% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 19, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
40%
No
60%
No (60%)Yes (40%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$240
Liquidity
$580
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 40%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 4.98% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 4.96% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5% or above
93%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.02% or above
87%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.04% or above
85%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.06% or above
69%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.08% or above
57%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.12% or above
28%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.14% or above
15%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.16% or above
13%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.2% or above
10%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.18% or above
4%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.24% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 5.22% or above
1%
Resolution
Oct 19, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$240
Liquidity$580
CategoryOther
StatusOpen