🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.91% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 26, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
95%
No
5%
No (5%)Yes (95%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$0
Liquidity
$420
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 95%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.81% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.83% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.85% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.87% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.89% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.93% or above
92%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.95% or above
86%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.97% or above
76%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 4.99% or above
63%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 5.01% or above
48%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 5.03% or above
30%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 5.05% or above
24%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 5.07% or above
14%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026? — 5.09% or above
6%
Resolution
Oct 26, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$0
Liquidity$420
CategoryOther
StatusOpen