🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.8%
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$25
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 96%.
About this market
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.9%
37%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Below 8.6%
20%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.7%
13%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 8.6%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.0%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.2%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — 9.1%
3%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026? — Above 9.2%
3%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$25
CategoryElections
StatusOpen