🗳️ Elections
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — Above 9.0%

Live
Resolves Oct 7, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 9.0% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026?

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.7%
65%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.8%
24%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 9.0%
6%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.9%
4%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.5%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.6%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — Below 8.4%
1%
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 7, 2026? — 8.4%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 7, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen