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When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2
Liquidity
$175k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2030
75%
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2028
45%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2
Liquidity$175k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen