🗳️ Elections

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Live
Resolves Jan 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen