🗳️ Elections
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — AfD

Live
Resolves Sep 20, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
51%
No
49%
No (49%)Yes (51%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$980
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 51%. Kalshi has moved down 31pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — SPD
52%
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — Die Linke
1%
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — BSW
1%
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — CDU
1%
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — FDP
1%
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner? — Grüne
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
51%
probability of YES
Kalshi
51%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 20, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$980
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen