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Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$141k
Liquidity
$554k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 69pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 240 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 54 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
98%
probability of YES
Kalshi
98%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$141k
Liquidity$554k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen