New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 23+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

42%

58%

No (58%)Yes (42%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Jersey by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Jersey Senate margin of victory

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 9+ pts

99%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 19+ pts

99%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 11+ pts

86%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 13+ pts

81%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 15+ pts

75%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 21+ pts

68%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 17+ pts

65%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 25+ pts

32%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 27+ pts

20%

New Jersey Senate margin of victory — Booker, 29+ pts

15%

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Avg probability

42%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$43

CategoryElections

StatusOpen