🎯 Other

New pandemic in 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

94%

No (94%)Yes (6%)

Check on Polymarket →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.