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Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 1 cut

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$414k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 0 cuts
94%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 2 cuts
1%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 17 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 7 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 16 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 8 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 9 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 15 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 6 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 18 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 3 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 20 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 19 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 4 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 11 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 13 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 14 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 5 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 10 cuts
0%
Number of rate cuts in 2026? — Exactly 12 cuts
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$414k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen