🎯 Other

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Check on Polymarket →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$27k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 16%. Polymarket has moved down 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Other
3%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Other
2%
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Other
16%
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Other
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Polymarket
16%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$27k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen