🗳️ Elections
Oregon Governor margin of victory

Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 20+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oregon Governor margin of victory

Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 2+ pts
67%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 5+ pts
44%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 8+ pts
22%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 23+ pts
14%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 26+ pts
10%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 11+ pts
9%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 14+ pts
1%
Oregon Governor margin of victory — Kotek, 17+ pts
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen