🎯 Other
Oscar nominees: Best Actor
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Sebastian Stan
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 28%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Sebastian Stan has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Oscar nominees: Best Actor
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — John Malkovich
95%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Matt Damon
93%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Andrew Scott
83%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Robert Pattinson
63%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Ryan Gosling
42%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Tom Cruise
40%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Anthony Ippolito
33%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — John Turturro
25%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Andrew Garfield
24%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Timothée Chalamet
22%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Jaafar Jackson
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Pedro Pascal
18%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Hanns Zischler
16%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Mahershala Ali
15%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Jeremy Strong
14%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Adam Driver
13%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Ethan Hawke
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Javier Bardem
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Robert Aramayo
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Guy Pearce
10%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Channing Tatum
9%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Keanu Reeves
8%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Brad Pitt
7%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Robert DeNiro
6%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Tom Holland
5%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Adam Scott
4%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Josh O'Connor
4%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Jeremy Allen White
4%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Sam Rockwell
3%
Oscar nominees: Best Actor — Sacha Baron Cohen
3%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$8k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen