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Oscar Winner: Best Picture

Oscar Winner: Best Picture — The Black Ball

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$307k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If The Black Ball has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Oscar Winner: Best Picture

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$307k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen