🗳️ Elections
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 5
Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 33%.
About this market
If Oct 5, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 7
15%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 8
14%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 9
14%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 10
14%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 11
13%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — October 6
5%
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen