🗳️ Elections
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 30
Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 24%.
About this market
If Sep 30, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 2
17%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 28
16%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 1
15%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 4
15%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — October 3
14%
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) — September 29
5%
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen