🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 6
Live
Resolves Oct 13, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
65%
No
35%
No (35%)Yes (65%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 65%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 4
92%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 8
18%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 10
10%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 12
4%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — Above 14
3%
Resolution
Oct 13, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen