🗳️ Elections

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
82%
No
18%
No (18%)Yes (82%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8
Liquidity
$37k

About this market

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
82%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8
Liquidity$37k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen