🗳️ Elections

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$250
Liquidity
$692

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$250
Liquidity$692
CategoryElections
StatusOpen