📊 Macro

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
26%
No
74%
No (74%)Yes (26%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$74

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on March 31, 2026 is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on March 31, 2026 is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures on the most recent prior trading day. For each trading day, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 5:00:00 PM ET on that date. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, the market will resolve 50-50. For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as four business days prior to the first calendar day of the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. If

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
26%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$74
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen