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Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Live
Resolves Jan 21, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 5%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 21, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen