Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 3%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?