📊 Macro
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
84%
No
16%
No (16%)Yes (84%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$401
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 84%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
84%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$401
Liquidity$1k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen