📊 Macro

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$5k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen