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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
54%
No
46%
No (46%)Yes (54%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$20k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 54%.

About this market

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
27%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
10%
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
4%
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
3%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
3%
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
1%
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
1%
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
1%
Will The Invite win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
1%
Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Josephine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will All of a Sudden win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Saturn Return win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Clarissa win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Fatherland win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Will Disclosure Day win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
54%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$20k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen