Macron out by December 31, 2026?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%. Polymarket has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.