Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 68%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026