📊 Macro
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?

Live
Resolves Jul 8, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
47%
No
53%
No (53%)Yes (47%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 47%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2027, currently scheduled for June 8 to 9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Fed rate cut by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
47%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 8, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen