⚽ Sports
United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Will Arvid Lindblad get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Live
Resolves Oct 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 1%. Polymarket has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 24, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

All outcomes · United States Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
99%
Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Lance Stroll get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Oliver Bearman get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Esteban Ocon get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Sergio Perez get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Fernando Alonso get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
1%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Nico Hulkenberg get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Yuki Tsunoda get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will Valtteri Bottas get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$11k
CategorySports
StatusOpen