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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Dalibor Svrcina (+1.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 19, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
66%
No
34%
No (34%)Yes (66%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$36k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 66%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniil Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Dalibor Svrcina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Dalibor Svrcina." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniil Medvedev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Dalibor Svrcina." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

All outcomes · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
66%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 19, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$36k
CategorySports
StatusOpen