⚽ Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Set Handicap: Jakub Mensik (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 21, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$17k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 33%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Arthur Gea in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Jakub Mensik" if Jakub Mensik wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Gea, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Jakub Mensik can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

All outcomes · Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
33%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 21, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$17k
CategorySports
StatusOpen