🗳️ Elections

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Polymarket
6%
Vol $326
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$326
Liquidity
$48k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
6%
Market stats
24h volume$326
Liquidity$48k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?